tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-346310154784158602.post8677424584660786886..comments2023-09-28T08:44:10.623+01:00Comments on The Sound of Gunfire: Clean sweep for ObamaBernard Salmonhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16756716991445396009noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-346310154784158602.post-90550348719121181732008-10-19T14:39:00.000+01:002008-10-19T14:39:00.000+01:00I have just seen enough elections in my time go th...I have just seen enough elections in my time go the opposite way that I can barely dare to think that Obama is actually going to win.<BR/><BR/>I've just bought Michael Moore's guide to the election - it has all his usual shades of humour, rant and occasional brilliant madness. It reminded me of how many times Democrats have been ahead and blown it at the last minute....Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04988201531739344840noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-346310154784158602.post-675315326202464042008-10-16T21:09:00.000+01:002008-10-16T21:09:00.000+01:00Bill, while there may indeed be some people who wi...Bill, while there may indeed be some people who will not vote for a black candidate, I suspect that a lot of them are already McCainites, rather than saying they'll vote for Obama. I also suspect that they might well be neutralised by a much higher turnout among ethnic minority commmunities than there has been in previous elections. In addition, Obama seems to have a very impressive ground campaign, while his fundraising advantage means he's heavily outspending McCain on TV advertising.<BR/>Caron, I agree that the Republican campaign might well get nastier, but is there any reason to think that such attacks will have any more traction over the last couple of weeks than they have over the last few? Indeed, if anything, McCain's relentless negativity seems to have damaged his campaign rather than boosted it.Bernard Salmonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16756716991445396009noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-346310154784158602.post-51327996365298020982008-10-16T17:14:00.000+01:002008-10-16T17:14:00.000+01:00I watched some of it live last night and the rest ...I watched some of it live last night and the rest on my DVR recording this morning. It seemed to me that McCain was rather petulant at times, trying to bait Obama into something he might regret later, but Obama simply remained calm and said what he had to say. There was back-biting on both sides at one point, but I'd say Obama did nothing negative and McCain certainly didn't advance his cause. However I'd caution against 'triumphalism'; none of us have votes there and those that do often have entrenched views. It remains to be seen how many of the 'floaters' or even some of those who normally vote Democrat will actually go into the polling booth and pull the lever for a 'black man', whatever they may have told pollsters; if Obama wins it will I suspect be much closer than the polls seem to predict.Billhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10393265755614039206noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-346310154784158602.post-72662602447946915992008-10-16T17:04:00.000+01:002008-10-16T17:04:00.000+01:00No...........It all looks good now, but we can't a...No...........<BR/><BR/>It all looks good now, but we can't assume anything nearly 3 weeks out.<BR/><BR/>He's bound to go through some sort of swift boating. The McCain campaign will get nastier and nastier and some of it will be quite successful.<BR/><BR/>Let's not count any chickens just yet.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04988201531739344840noreply@blogger.com